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2024锟斤拷1锟铰份ｏ拷锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷47.2%锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷1.4锟斤拷锟劫凤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟斤拷(chu锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷2023锟斤拷4锟斤拷锟皆侊拷锟斤拷锟铰高ｏ拷锟紷示锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟絤未锟絒脫锟斤拷锟絯锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絓锟叫態(t锟斤拷i)锟捷ｏ拷锟斤拷锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟劫讹拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟接快。锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟揭侊拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰囷拷锟斤拷英锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絀(y锟斤拷)PMI锟絤锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷水平锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟铰撅拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷1锟铰份ｏ拷锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟劫度的加匡拷锟絎锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷(f锟斤拷)锟終锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絜锟絆影響ｏ拷锟斤拷锟絎锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絯锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絓锟叫革拷植锟轿达拷锟阶冿拷锟斤拷锟揭拷Y(ji锟斤拷)锟较歐锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟竭勶拷變锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷W锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟接匡拷謴锟�(f锟斤拷)锟侥可筹拷锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟皆★拷锟斤拷前锟絎元锟絕(q锟斤拷)通脹锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟斤拷1锟铰凤拷CPI同锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絃2.8%锟斤拷锟皆碉拷锟斤拷去锟斤拷12锟铰碉拷2.9%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絤危锟紺锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆沖突锟酵紅锟斤拷锟街勢的诧拷锟絖锟斤拷锟皆岋拷锟絎锟睫地區(q锟斤拷)锟斤拷影锟斤拷圆锟斤拷莺锟揭曪拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�(d锟斤拷o)锟铰歐锟斤拷通脹锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节岋拷锟截撅拷锟斤拷锟轿沖突影響的匡拷锟絔锟斤拷锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫岋拷2024锟斤拷慕锟�(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷偏锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷2024锟斤拷W元锟絕(q锟斤拷)锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟劫忥拷之前锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟統锟斤拷0.9%锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷0.6%锟斤拷IMF锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟統也锟斤拷锟絎元锟絕(q锟斤拷)2024锟疥經(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絃锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷前锟节碉拷1.2%锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷0.9%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟酵涳拷锟斤拷锟斤拷^锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷么锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫碉拷貨锟斤拷锟斤拷锟竭岋拷锟絕锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟杰碉拷锟斤拷驗。锟斤拷锟斤拷W元锟絕(q锟斤拷)CPI锟杰憋拷锟街拷前水平锟斤拷未锟杰碉拷锟截撅拷锟斤拷锟轿沖突影響ｏ拷锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫岋拷锟斤拷锟絰锟斤拷息锟斤拷锟狡動筹拷锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟捷的歐锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟叫堬拷锟秸憋拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟节ｏ拷锟絎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫岋拷锟斤拷锟节讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絰锟斤拷息锟斤拷

2024锟斤拷1锟铰份ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷49%锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰斤拷0.8锟斤拷锟劫凤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟紷示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟揭匡拷锟斤拷锟较凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟脚撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟桔凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟絃锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟接快，锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟紹锟絤(x锟斤拷)2锟斤拷锟铰環(hu锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷54%锟斤拷锟较ｏ拷锟角庯拷锟接凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟絃锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷1锟铰份ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)未锟杰岋拷锟紽(xi锟斤拷n)锟接匡拷謴锟�(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷指锟斤拷(sh锟斤拷)水平锟斤拷锟紹锟絤(x锟斤拷)2锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷49%锟斤拷锟揭ｏ拷锟揭革拷锟节歐锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷锟紷示锟斤拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟皆憋拷锟斤拷平锟斤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷目前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟絚全锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷聯(li锟斤拷n)系锟斤拷锟斤拷o锟杰ｏ拷全锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷(f锟斤拷)锟終锟斤拷锟斤拷影锟斤拷锟揭诧拷锟絬锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟絇(gu锟斤拷n)系锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫的侊拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟截和忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟終锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絜锟絆影響★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟解部锟絟(hu锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟解，锟斤拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟斤拷(f锟斤拷)锟終要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟睫革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(n锟斤拷i)锟斤拷锟絟(hu锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟侥凤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟皆★拷锟斤拷些锟疥，锟組锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫凤拷锟睫囷拷锟揭筹拷锟紽(xi锟斤拷n)锟斤拷蕩锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絯锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟津保持凤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟斤拷未锟侥革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷影響凤拷锟睫的斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟睫革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭拷锟斤拷煤梅锟斤拷薮锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絈(m锟斤拷o)锟絕(q锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟接匡拷锟斤拷锟組锟斤拷锟睫达拷陸癸拷锟絀(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟組锟教ｏ拷锟皆革拷锟矫憋拷锟较凤拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷(f锟斤拷)锟終锟斤拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟絎(xu锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟角庯拷锟斤拷瞻l(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷J锟介，锟斤拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絃锟斤拷锟斤拷2023锟斤拷锟�2.6%锟斤拷锟斤拷2024锟斤拷锟�3.2%锟斤拷位锟斤拷全锟斤拷诙锟斤拷锟斤拷H锟斤拷锟节侊拷锟睫★拷

2024锟斤拷1锟铰份ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷49.6%锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷2锟斤拷锟劫凤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟紹锟絤(x锟斤拷)2锟斤拷锟铰環(hu锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟斤拷锟斤拷映锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟揭旓拷(sh锟斤拷)锟斤拷(j锟斤拷)锟紷示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟矫达拷锟侥拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絀(y锟斤拷)PMI锟絕锟斤拷锟铰撅拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷ISM锟斤拷锟斤拷@示锟斤拷2024锟斤拷1锟铰ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷49.1%锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�47.1%锟斤拷锟斤拷2锟斤拷锟劫凤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟斤拷(chu锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷2022锟斤拷11锟斤拷锟皆侊拷锟斤拷锟铰高★拷锟斤拷锟街革拷锟�(sh锟斤拷)變锟斤拷锟紷示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟絘(ch锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟叫堬拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟铰撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紷锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絘(ch锟斤拷n)指锟斤拷(sh锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷訂锟斤拷指锟斤拷(sh锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷50%锟斤拷锟较★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷聯(li锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟接撅拷锟斤拷息锟絩锟絞锟结供锟剿旓拷(sh锟斤拷)锟斤拷(j锟斤拷)支锟街★拷2023锟斤拷锟侥硷拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷GDP锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷也锟絖锟斤拷锟斤拷3.3%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫堬拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟节★拷锟斤拷(sh锟斤拷)锟斤拷(j锟斤拷)變锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟街忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷2024锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絀MF锟斤拷锟节岋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷2024锟疥經(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絃锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷2.1%锟斤拷锟絕前锟斤拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟統值锟斤拷锟斤拷0.6锟斤拷锟劫凤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(n锟斤拷i)一些锟紺锟斤拷(g锟斤拷u)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絃锟皆达拷锟节憋拷锟絕锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟节★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟統锟叫發(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷J锟斤拷锟絊锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟組锟斤拷支锟斤拷锟脚撅拷锟斤拷未锟斤拷讉锟斤拷拢锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)計锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷亍锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷A锟斤拷锟斤拷锟秸堬拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷锟紷示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟教斤拷蛯W(xu锟斤拷)锟絞(sh锟斤拷)锟界經(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟絎(xu锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟絁锟斤拷2024锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷衰锟剿的革拷锟斤拷锟节斤拷锟酵ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟統锟斤拷2024锟疥經(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷平锟斤拷水平锟紿锟斤拷1%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫撅拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰勶拷(w锟斤拷)锟叫撅拷锟斤拷锟侥發(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷锟紷示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟剿岋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟竭诧拷锟組锟斤拷锟紿锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絁锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紽(xi锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟矫★拷

2024锟斤拷1锟铰份ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟斤拷50.4%锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷0.6锟斤拷锟劫凤拷锟絚锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟铰短曪拷锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷锟劫达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷50%锟斤拷锟较ｏ拷锟斤拷映锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接快，锟斤拷锟絤(x锟斤拷)2023锟斤拷锟皆侊拷锟侥溫猴拷锟斤拷锟絃趨锟捷★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟揭匡拷锟斤拷锟叫囷拷锟斤拷锟秸憋拷锟斤拷锟絥锟斤拷锟斤拷印锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟絕锟斤拷锟铰撅拷锟叫诧拷同锟教讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絴锟剿囷拷锟斤拷锟叫ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絜锟解，锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷I(y锟斤拷)PMI锟絕锟斤拷锟铰撅拷锟叫诧拷同锟教讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟轿環(hu锟斤拷n)锟斤拷锟酵可筹拷锟絤(x锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷支锟斤拷锟角侊拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟揭憋拷锟街溫猴拷锟斤拷锟絃锟侥冿拷(n锟斤拷i)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絣锟斤拷锟斤拷RCEP锟斤拷锟絕(q锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟絈(m锟斤拷o)锟斤拷投锟結锟侥达拷锟組锟斤拷锟斤拷锟角侊拷锟睫斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟截和忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟終锟斤拷锟解部锟�(q锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟截★拷锟叫囷拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷平锟斤拷(w锟斤拷n)锟斤拷没謴锟�(f锟斤拷)锟皆岋拷锟角憋拷锟街侊拷锟睫恢忥拷(f锟斤拷)锟絞锟皆碉拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷IMF锟斤拷锟铰堬拷鎸�2024锟疥亞太锟截區(q锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟絃锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟节忥拷去锟斤拷10锟铰份碉拷4.2%锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷4.5%锟斤拷锟斤拷2024锟斤拷锟叫囷拷锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絃锟紸(y锟斤拷)锟节忥拷去锟斤拷10锟铰份碉拷4.2%锟斤拷锟絳(di锟斤拷o)锟斤拷4.6%锟斤拷锟絖锟斤拷斯锟斤拷锟界經(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷論锟斤拷锟絣(f锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟节★拷锟斤拷席锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟絎(xu锟斤拷)锟斤拷展锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷J锟介，93%锟斤拷86%锟斤拷锟斤拷席锟斤拷(j锟斤拷ng)锟斤拷锟絎(xu锟斤拷)锟斤拷锟紸(y锟斤拷)計锟较侊拷锟酵東锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紽(xi锟斤拷n)锟絤锟饺伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷诺锟斤拷锟斤拷L锟斤拷同锟絩也要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟睫地區(q锟斤拷)同锟斤拷锟斤拷锟絉貨锟斤拷锟紿值锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷品锟絩锟今波動勶拷锟揭★拷锟絈(m锟斤拷o)锟斤拷摩锟斤拷锟皆硷拷锟截撅拷锟斤拷锟轿沖突锟斤拷影響ｏ拷危锟経锟絚锟紺锟斤拷锟斤拷锟芥。